American Airways’ Seattle To Bangalore Flight Delayed

American Airways’ extremely anticipated Seattle to Bangalore route has been pushed again once more, and now there’s not even a deliberate launch date. Evidently this route is now mainly again on the drafting board for some level sooner or later. Let’s talk about what we find out about this improvement.

American Airways’ Seattle growth

Again in February 2020, American Airways caught most of us off guard, when it was introduced that the airline would type a world hub in Seattle. To date American has introduced plans to fly from Seattle to Bangalore, London, and Shanghai, and all three routes have been initially scheduled to launch in 2021.

This improvement got here as American began cooperating extra intently with Alaska, because the Seattle-based airline additionally joined the oneworld alliance as of March 2021. Personally I discover American’s Seattle growth to be reasonably unusual, and I’m curious to see the way it works out.

Alaska lately joined the oneworld alliance

As you may anticipate, the pandemic has precipitated a few of American’s development out of Seattle to be delayed. The Seattle to Bangalore flight was initially alleged to launch in October 2020. It was then delayed till October 2021, then till November 2021, then till January 2022, then till March 2022, and now till… an undisclosed date sooner or later.

In an organization memo, the airline has revealed that the Seattle to Bangalore flight will likely be delayed even additional. The airline hasn’t but eliminated the flight from its schedule, however I’d anticipate stock to be pulled throughout the subsequent schedule replace.

That is formally being blamed on delayed Boeing 787 deliveries, although the fact is that if the route made sense or have been forecasted to be worthwhile, American would transfer ahead with the route. That’s very true when you think about the airline introduced an all new route from New York to Doha.

American has a scarcity of extensive physique plane

American’s Seattle to Bangalore flight particulars

Whereas it’s anybody’s guess if or when the route will launch, right here’s what the deliberate schedule appears like for the Seattle to Bangalore service:

AA180 Seattle to Bangalore departing 5:55PM arriving 11:05PM (+1 day)
AA181 Bangalore to Seattle departing 1:45AM arriving 6:00AM

American’s Seattle to Bangalore route

The flight would cowl a distance of 8,112 miles, and the plan was for the flight to be blocked at 16hr40min to India, and 16hr45min from India. American deliberate to make use of a Boeing 787-9 for the route, that includes 30 enterprise class seats, 21 premium financial system seats, and 234 financial system seats.

American’s 787-9 enterprise class

I’m skeptical about this route launching

When American first introduced this route I assumed it was stunning but it surely type of made sense. No different airline flew nonstop between the US and Bangalore, so American would have a bonus out there. Within the meantime fairly a bit has modified, although:

  • United has introduced it is going to fly day by day between San Francisco and Bangalore; this was initially alleged to launch in Might 2021, however has been delayed till Might 2022
  • Air India introduced it is going to fly as much as 2x weekly between San Francisco and Bangalore; this route has already launched

It appears to me like American was betting on United not with the ability to fly from San Francisco to Bangalore as a result of distance, because it’s proper on the cusp of the 787-9’s vary. Nonetheless, United discovered a solution to modify its 787-9s to make this route attainable, presumably a lot to American’s dismay.

United will launch a San Francisco to Bangalore route

Why am I skeptical about American’s likelihood of success right here? Pre-pandemic, right here’s what demand regarded like between Bangalore and america:

  • San Francisco had 17.7% of the site visitors (probably the most of any US metropolis), accounting for over 200 vacationers per day
  • Seattle had 4.3% of the site visitors, accounting for roughly 50 passengers per day

American depends on there being plenty of connecting site visitors, and presumably American anticipated it might get a lot of the San Francisco demand as effectively. However then United introduced the San Francisco to Bangalore route.

Whereas United’s route looks like it has a excessive likelihood of being profitable, I simply don’t see the place the demand is meant to return from to make American’s flight work, particularly when you think about that from a lot of the US apart from the West Coast, you’d be flying fewer miles routing to Bangalore via Europe, reasonably than connecting via Seattle.

Sure, I get Amazon and Microsoft are large in Seattle, and now have a big presence in India. However the pre-pandemic passenger numbers don’t lie, and until all of the passengers touring between Seattle and Bangalore have been in paid enterprise class, the maths simply doesn’t add up. Add within the sluggish tempo at which worldwide enterprise journey is recovering, and it might be fairly some time till we once more see 2019 passenger numbers for routes like this.

Will American ever launch its Seattle to Bangalore route?

Will American ditch its Seattle worldwide hub concept?

I’m more and more questioning if American is already backtracking on its concept of turning Seattle into an enormous worldwide gateway. I’m undecided a technique or one other, however a number of ideas:

  • With Bangalore and Shanghai flights being indefinitely delayed, American’s solely lengthy haul service out of Seattle is to London; that’s straightforward sufficient to function even with out a lot effort, given the oneworld transatlantic three way partnership, and normal demand for journey between Seattle and Europe
  • American’s lengthy haul development recently appears to be out of New York, with the airline launching flights to Delhi, Doha, and Tel Aviv; I believe we’ll see a New York to Mumbai route earlier than we see a Seattle to Bangalore route
  • No additional routes have been introduced out of Seattle; in equity, the plan was largely for Seattle to be a transpacific gateway, and journey to Asia continues to be largely very tough
  • With American having retired 757s, 767s, and A330s throughout the pandemic, it’ll in all probability be a number of years earlier than American has as many extensive physique plane because it wants, so one has to marvel how Seattle development will likely be prioritized
  • No less than traditionally American has been unable to commit to only about any plan for an prolonged time period, so perhaps this isn’t any completely different?
American’s worldwide development is now out of New York

Backside line

American Airways’ new flight from Seattle to Bangalore has been delayed indefinitely, so it’s anybody’s guess when the route will really launch. Whereas that is formally being blamed on Boeing 787 supply delays, if the route could be worthwhile sufficient then this might have been a precedence.

Personally I’m not shocked to see this delay, and for that matter I query if the route will ever launch. With United planning to launch a San Francisco to Bangalore route (which American wasn’t anticipating would occur), the demand for this route is questionable.

Do you suppose American will find yourself launching Bangalore flights?

Supply hyperlink